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Predicting and improving complex business processes: values and limitations of modeling and simulation technologies

Published: 03 December 2006 Publication History

Abstract

This paper argues that the value of simulation and modeling technology tends to be contingent on creating models that can offer a systematic and well defined way of representing firm's structure and business processes. Over time, stable and simple business processes can reach equilibrium. As such, the behavior of the stable systems can be predicted through modeling and simulation. However, complexity in hierarchical business processes and introduction of random changes within such business processes create dynamic systems that have a tendency not to reach equilibrium. Hence, simulation and modeling may add less value in predictability of behavior within complex and dynamic business processes.

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  • (2011)Modeling and simulation driven software developmentProceedings of the 2011 Emerging M&S Applications in Industry and Academia Symposium10.5555/2048513.2048515(4-10)Online publication date: 3-Apr-2011
  1. Predicting and improving complex business processes: values and limitations of modeling and simulation technologies

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    cover image ACM Conferences
    WSC '06: Proceedings of the 38th conference on Winter simulation
    December 2006
    2429 pages
    ISBN:1424405017

    Sponsors

    • IIE: Institute of Industrial Engineers
    • ASA: American Statistical Association
    • IEICE ESS: Institute of Electronics, Information and Communication Engineers, Engineering Sciences Society
    • IEEE-CS\DATC: The IEEE Computer Society
    • SIGSIM: ACM Special Interest Group on Simulation and Modeling
    • NIST: National Institute of Standards and Technology
    • (SCS): The Society for Modeling and Simulation International
    • INFORMS-CS: Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences-College on Simulation

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    Published: 03 December 2006

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    WSC06: Winter Simulation Conference 2006
    December 3 - 6, 2006
    California, Monterey

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    WSC '06 Paper Acceptance Rate 177 of 252 submissions, 70%;
    Overall Acceptance Rate 3,413 of 5,075 submissions, 67%

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    • (2011)Modeling and simulation driven software developmentProceedings of the 2011 Emerging M&S Applications in Industry and Academia Symposium10.5555/2048513.2048515(4-10)Online publication date: 3-Apr-2011

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