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The northwest passage: a simulation

Published: 03 December 2006 Publication History

Abstract

Shipping from Yokohama to New York and St. Johns, Newfoundland is simulated by VSLAM for two routes: the Panama Canal, using fast and slow bluewater ships, and the Northwest Passage, using identically sized fast and slow Canadian Arctic Class (CAC) 3 ships. Each route is broken into a series of logical legs, and environmental conditions and wait times are assigned. Ice conditions are modeled from historical records. Average speed through the Northwest Passage shows little seasonal variation. Round trips per year are higher through the Northwest Passage for all cases in this study. The required freight rate (RFR) to recover all costs including capital recovery, is calculated for fast ships. RFR is lower for fast ships from St. Johns to Yokohama using the Northwest Passage, and higher for fast ships from New York to Yokohama. Possible future thinning of Arctic ice may improve the economics of the Northwest Passage.

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Canadian Hydrographic Service. 1994a. Sailing Direction Arctic Canada (Eastern Part). Vol.1. 4th ed. Publication number P100. Ottawa.
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Canadian Hydrographic Service. 1994b. Sailing Direction Arctic Canada (Western Part). Vol.3. 5th ed. Publication number P104. Ottawa.
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Lapp, D., M. Lowings, M. Cameron, D. Wells, and D. Hagen. 1986. Proposed Ice regimes for Arctic Ship-Navigation. Vol 1. Report prepared by Norland Science and Engineering Ltd, Ottawa and Polar Sea Research Ltd, Lethbridge, Alberta, for Canadian Coast Guard. Publication number TP 7735E.
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cover image ACM Conferences
WSC '06: Proceedings of the 38th conference on Winter simulation
December 2006
2429 pages
ISBN:1424405017

Sponsors

  • IIE: Institute of Industrial Engineers
  • ASA: American Statistical Association
  • IEICE ESS: Institute of Electronics, Information and Communication Engineers, Engineering Sciences Society
  • IEEE-CS\DATC: The IEEE Computer Society
  • SIGSIM: ACM Special Interest Group on Simulation and Modeling
  • NIST: National Institute of Standards and Technology
  • (SCS): The Society for Modeling and Simulation International
  • INFORMS-CS: Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences-College on Simulation

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Winter Simulation Conference

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Published: 03 December 2006

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WSC06
Sponsor:
  • IIE
  • ASA
  • IEICE ESS
  • IEEE-CS\DATC
  • SIGSIM
  • NIST
  • (SCS)
  • INFORMS-CS
WSC06: Winter Simulation Conference 2006
December 3 - 6, 2006
California, Monterey

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WSC '06 Paper Acceptance Rate 177 of 252 submissions, 70%;
Overall Acceptance Rate 3,413 of 5,075 submissions, 67%

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